Sr. Product Manager | Forecasting (Blue Apron)

About Blue Apron

Want to build a food system that’s better for everyone? That’s our vision at Blue Apron, with the help of each of our home chefs. With each fast-and-easy meal kit served and each pre-made meal enjoyed, we’re investing in what matters most—our communities and the meals they share.  

Blue Apron, part of Wonder, delivers incredible home cooking experiences to customers nationwide. Through fresh, pre-portioned ingredients and easy-to-follow recipes, we make cooking at home simple, accessible, and joyful—no subscription necessary. At Blue Apron, we’re reshaping the food industry, combining culinary excellence, innovation, and convenience to meet customers wherever they are.    

Blue Apron is constantly evolving and growing to best serve our home chefs. Join us and work with a team of industry pioneers across technology, culinary, and logistics, coming together to make every mealtime memorable.  

About the Role

Blue Apron is looking for a high-impact Sr. Product Manager (Forecasting) to own and scale the demand forecasting and ordering processes for our customer SKUs. This forecast directly drives production orders with our manufacturing partner and has significant impact on customer experience and financial outcomes.

In this role, you will define strategy, improve our forecasting models and data foundations, guide engineering/DS development, and continuously enhance the accuracy, stability, and downstream impact of our forecast. Your work will materially influence customer fill rates, waste reduction, and overall P&L performance.

Key Responsibilities

• Map and diagnose the current forecasting process: Build deep understanding of existing models, inputs, constraints, and operational workflows – identify strengths and priority opportunities

• Define and operationalize performance metrics: Establish forecast & ordering performance metrics – tying back to in-stock availability, customer fill rates, and waste reduction

• Analyze performance: Evaluate forecast accuracy across SKU groups (e.g. regular staples vs. cold-start products) to identify high-impact focus areas

• Establish a simple baseline: Implement a naïve benchmark to quantify our forecast performance (“how much value are we adding”?) and track improvements

• Set strategy for forecast and ordering enhancements: Develop and maintain a product roadmap that links data investments, model improvements, and operational outcomes

• Guide Engineering/DS team: Prioritize features, data pipelines, and model upgrades (e.g. capturing & reflecting unconstrained demand, adjusting forecasts for promotional lift, improving cold start logic for new items, etc.)

• Understand customer assignment: Ensure forecast logic aligns with how SKUs are offered to customers (via Blue Apron’s “assignment” model), enabling accurate prediction of future demand

• Drive cross-functional execution: Partner closely with analytics, marketing, and operations to deliver roadmap milestones & improve business KPIs

• Own the feature development lifecycle: From ideation and feature definition through prioritization, testing, and impact measurement

• Communicate impact & insights: Present forecast performance, operational results, and business implications clearly to stakeholders (including ops leadership)

The Experience You Have

• 4-7+ years in Product Management, Supply Chain, or Operations, with practical experience in forecasting & replenishment (food/perishables strongly preferred)

• Strong product skillset – ability to operate independently in a complex, technical domain

• Hands-on analytical capability and a deep inquisitive nature – you’re comfortable diving into datasets, understanding model behavior, and diagnosing issues

• Strong SQL and self-serve analytics skills, with the ability to build simple visualizations in tools like Looker

• Understanding of forecasting concepts, accuracy metrics, and how forecasts translate into ordering and procurement decisions

• Experience working with supply chain, forecasting, production planning, or replenishment systems is highly preferred

• Excellent communication and interpersonal skills – able to bridge technical and non-technical teams and drive alignment

The Way You Work

• You think holistically about end-to-end operational outcomes – from forecast inputs to customer experience and financial impacts

• You bring structure to ambiguous, complex problems and simplify them into clear strategies

• You communicate crisply and inspire confidence across en